Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, cilt.250, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus)
Hailstorms are extreme weather events that severely damage plants and reduce crop yields. Traditional hail simulations often use leaf defoliation to assess plant damage, but hail damage is typically classified into several categories. In this study, we simulated eight hail scenarios on tomato plants using water-absorbed and frozen pumice stones of various sizes and quantities to replicate real hail. These simulations were conducted at four developmental stages of the tomato plant. We calculated 62 vegetation indices before and after each simulation. The percentage of hail damage was then estimated using six machine learning regression models and five feature selection methods, including correlation, ReliefF, LASSO, Random Forest Feature Importance (RFFI), and Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE). The combination of RFE and the Random Forest model provided the most accurate estimates, with a Pearson correlation coefficient (R) of 0.9019, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.7287, and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 5.6991.