The link between urbanization and air pollution in Turkey: evidence from dynamic autoregressive distributed lag simulations

ASLAN A., Altinoz B., Ozsolak B.

Environmental Science and Pollution Research, cilt.28, sa.37, ss.52370-52380, 2021 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 28 Sayı: 37
  • Basım Tarihi: 2021
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1007/s11356-021-14408-1
  • Dergi Adı: Environmental Science and Pollution Research
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, IBZ Online, ABI/INFORM, Aerospace Database, Aqualine, Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA), BIOSIS, CAB Abstracts, EMBASE, Environment Index, Geobase, MEDLINE, Pollution Abstracts, Veterinary Science Database, Civil Engineering Abstracts
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.52370-52380
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Urbanization, Air pollution, Turkey, DARDL, CARBON-DIOXIDE EMISSIONS, CO2 EMISSIONS, ENERGY-CONSUMPTION, FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT, EMPIRICAL-EVIDENCE, ECONOMIC-GROWTH, EKC HYPOTHESIS, PANEL, INDUSTRIALIZATION, IMPACT
  • Erciyes Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

© 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.This study investigates the relationship between urbanization and air pollution in Turkey. Dynamic ARDL method was used for the period 1960–2015. According to the findings, there is a positive and statistically significant relationship between long-term urbanization and CO2. If urbanization increased by 1%, carbon emissions increased by 0.02%. There is a similar relationship between the shocks that will occur in population growth and CO2 emission in the long term. However, there is a negative and statistically insignificant relationship between the two variables. In the relationship between GDP and CO2, there is a positive relationship in the long term. GDP increase of 1% increases CO2 emissions by 0.11%. There is a similar relationship between long-term GDP shocks and CO2 emissions. According to short-term analysis results, energy consumption increases CO2 emissions by the same rate as GDP. However, the astonishing result of the study emerges here. Empirical results show that a long-term positive shock in energy consumption reduces CO2 emissions and a negative shock increases pollution. According to these results, Turkey has not reached the point of sustainable growth. For this reason, this developing country needs to make regulatory implementations and determine future policies for these impacts affecting air pollution.