Petrol Fiyatlarının Co2 Emisyonuna Asimetrik Etkisi


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Kışlacık N., Altıntaş H.

Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, cilt.46, sa.2, ss.1-24, 2024 (Hakemli Dergi)

Özet

The desire for infinite growth brought by the capitalist understanding threatens humanity along with nature, and we are confronted with a more polluted world where the ecological crisis is deepening daily. This study aims to examine the asymmetric effect of oil prices on CO2 emissions with the non-linear ARDL cointegration method (NARDL) and to draw attention to the importance of renewable energy with annual data for the period 1971-2021 for Turkey. As a result of the study, per capita income is statistically insignificant. When other variables are analyzed, CO2 emissions per capita increase as energy use per capita increases. This result is supported by the results of renewable electricity generation, which is another variable. When renewable electricity generation increases by 1%, CO2 emissions per capita decrease by 0.23%. The asymmetric effect of oil prices on CO2 in the long run varies according to the shocks. A 1% increase in oil prices reduces CO2 emissions per capita by 0.046%. A 1% increase in negative shocks in oil prices increases CO2 emissions by 0.027%. Based on these results, CO2 emission in Turkey is asymmetrically affected by oil prices and renewable energy generation plays a critical role in preventing this imbalance.